TE · NYG · 2026 fantasy outlook
Isaiah Likely: 2026 Fantasy Outlook
Isaiah Likely went from TE16 in 2024 to TE45 in 2025. His current TE11 price at pick 117.33 should be judged against both seasons rather than assuming the latest finish repeats. Our published board ranks him #119, near consensus: draft at price, around pick 121.
Why this draft target?
- Our season projection is 6.3 PPR points per game. The model labels his risk low and upside low.
- His latest recorded season (2025) finished at TE45. The table below shows the full 4-season sample rather than treating one finish as a forecast.
The verdict compares consensus ADP with the published board, not the raw model. A difference within two picks or 5% of ADP, whichever is larger, is fair price. Target pick also accounts for acquisition timing; it is not a guarantee of availability.
Where the market has him
Our published board has him at 119, effectively level with the market. Across 16 ranking sources the spread is 17 places — a long way apart.
The acquisition target is pick 121, round 13 in a 10-team league. Board rank orders player value; the target pick also accounts for market price. It is a guide, not a guarantee that the player will still be available. The replacement-level tight end we measure him against is Harold Fannin, which is the honest comparison: the question is never whether he is good, it is how much better he is than the player you could have instead.
Compare the alternatives
Check the price and trade-offs side by side before deciding.
The track record
Across 4 drafted seasons in our sample, Isaiah Likely finished at or above his positional draft price 3 times. He returned a severe bust in 4 of them.
| Season | Drafted as | Finished | PPG | Games | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TE20 | TE45 | 4.4 | 14 | Severe bust |
| 2024 | TE18 | TE16 | 7.7 | 16 | Severe bust |
| 2023 | TE32 | TE25 | 5.9 | 17 | Severe bust |
| 2022 | TE27 | TE27 | 6.1 | 16 | Severe bust |
Positional draft rank against final positional finish on PPR total points. A severe bust is a finish outside the top 60 FLEX scorers.
Risk and upside
Our model tiers him low for risk and low for upside. Across the 2026 board those two scores are essentially uncorrelated, so a low-risk label is not a low-ceiling label.
Why the model says low risk: Low risk profile: injury-supported risk (64.0) with weekly/market volatility (54.9) as the secondary driver.
Isaiah Likely: common questions
Where is Isaiah Likely being drafted in 2026?
Isaiah Likely is going around pick 117.33 overall, the TE11 off the board in consensus ADP across the ranking sources we track, though individual sources have him as high as 73 and as low as 144.
Is Isaiah Likely a good pick in 2026?
FAIR PRICE — Draft at price; our board does not show a meaningful discount. Isaiah Likely has a consensus ADP of 117.33 (TE11). Our published board ranks him #119; target him around pick 121 in a 10-team PPR draft.
How risky is Isaiah Likely?
Our model puts him in the low risk tier. Risk here combines availability history, role certainty, how much the ranking sources disagree, and week-to-week volatility. It is a measure of how wide the range of outcomes looks, not a prediction that he will get hurt.
How many fantasy points will Isaiah Likely score in 2026?
Our projection has him at about 6.3 points per game in full PPR, or roughly 88 on the season once 3.2 projected games lost are priced in. Projections are a central estimate, not a floor.
Keep drafting
Drafted around the same cost
ADP is consensus across the ranking sources Auto Draft Years tracks. Historical finishes are positional ranks on PPR total points, 2022–2025. Market snapshot Sep 7, 2026. For informational and entertainment purposes only — projections are estimates, not forecasts.